Probabilis

Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports

Saturday, April 19, 2025

NBA Playoffs 2025 Bracket Math (Post Play-In)

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The streak continues again -  no regular season 7 seed has failed to make the playoffs  in the play-in era. This year, a 10 seed finally mad...
Monday, April 14, 2025

NBA Play-In 2025 Bracket Math

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The 7-seed has still never missed the playoffs in the play-in era , with two chances to win one home game to advance.  This year is even mor...
Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Final Four per the MDS Model (2025)

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We got all 1 seeds for the first time since 2008, and just about chalk all around. This makes for as evenly matched a Final Four as I've...
Thursday, March 27, 2025

Sweet 16 per the MDS Model (2025)

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Going in to last year's Sweet Sixteen , we had three clearly elevated teams: Houston, Connecticut, and Purdue. Connecticut went on to wi...
Monday, March 17, 2025

NCAA Tournament 2025 Bracket Math for the MDS Model

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By almost any rating system, North Carolina deserved to be in the tournament. For those who are still reading and didn't rage quit this ...
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Michael Stock
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