Probabilis
Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports
Saturday, April 20, 2024
NBA Playoffs 2024 Bracket Math (Post Play-In)
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The streak continues - no regular season 7 seed has failed to make the playoffs in the play-in era. However, this year's iteration came...
Tuesday, April 16, 2024
NBA Play-In 2024 Bracket Math
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As always, winning 2 games in a row is really hard - just like it was last year, when both the 7 and 8 seeds ultimately made the playoffs . ...
Sunday, March 31, 2024
Final Four per the MDS Model (2024)
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While Houston went bust , one of the other two top contenders are overwhelmingly our likely champion (85% combined). But due to the much eas...
Monday, March 25, 2024
Sweet 16 per the MDS Model (2024)
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Going in to last year's Sweet Sixteen , we had a pretty clear top two in Alabama and Houston. They both lose immediately as large favori...
Wednesday, March 20, 2024
NCAA Tournament 2024 Bracket Math for the MDS Model
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A sadder update to start this year's bracket math: 2 of the 4 models I've used the past few years are no longer in service - FiveThi...
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