Probabilis
Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports
Tuesday, April 1, 2025
Final Four per the MDS Model (2025)
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We got all 1 seeds for the first time since 2008, and just about chalk all around. This makes for as evenly matched a Final Four as I've...
Thursday, March 27, 2025
Sweet 16 per the MDS Model (2025)
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Going in to last year's Sweet Sixteen , we had three clearly elevated teams: Houston, Connecticut, and Purdue. Connecticut went on to wi...
Monday, March 17, 2025
NCAA Tournament 2025 Bracket Math for the MDS Model
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By almost any rating system, North Carolina deserved to be in the tournament. For those who are still reading and didn't rage quit this ...
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