Probabilis

Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports

Saturday, April 18, 2026

NHL Playoffs 2026 Bracket Math

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It's been a few years since I've simulated an NHL bracket , but went ahead and adapted my NBA simulator to run on this year's S...

NBA Playoffs 2026 Bracket Math (Post Play-In)

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The 7-seed has still never missed the playoffs , but the play-in winners don't exactly strike fear in the top of each conference.  I dou...
Tuesday, April 14, 2026

NBA Play-In 2026 Bracket Math

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We had a 10-seed make the playoffs for the first time last year , but still have never seen the 7 seed miss the playoffs with two chances to...
Monday, March 30, 2026

Final Four per the MDS Model (2026)

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And then there were two favorites remaining - 65% of the time, the champion will come from the right side of the bracket (Arizona + Michiga...
Thursday, March 26, 2026

Sweet 16 per the MDS Model (2026)

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Going into the tournament , there were 3 standout teams: Duke, Michigan, and Arizona, who combined to win the title ~50% of the time.  And t...
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Michael Stock
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