Probabilis
Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports
Wednesday, November 27, 2013
The MDS Model
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Background For the entirety of this college football season, I've been predicting games using an aggregate of multiple mathematical mo...
Monday, September 30, 2013
Post-ECU season outlook, and why it's worse than you think
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There are a number of reasons why this past Saturday's loss to ECU was very, very bad and has a HUGE impact on our outlook going forward...
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Monday, September 2, 2013
UNC's Season Outlook
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Using Jeff Sagarin's USA Today ratings and Kevin Massey's ratings, I've projected out the rest of Carolina's season. Using t...
Thursday, August 29, 2013
UNC vs South Carolina
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Our chances tonight, per my models: UNC victory: 16.80% South Car victory: 83.20% Average margin of defeat: 14.58
Saturday, July 27, 2013
New blog launched devoted to sports picks
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I've decided to keep this blog entirely devoted to sports and statistics, and have now launched Probabilis Sports Picks where I'...
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