Probabilis

Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports

Saturday, February 6, 2021

Carolina's Hardest Game Each Year Isn't Always Duke on the Road

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C onventional wisdom (via a poll, sample size = 2) would think that the annual Duke game at Cameron Indoor is the single hardest game of th...
Wednesday, December 16, 2020

Hurricane Rates Fitted to the Poisson Distribution, as Evidence of Climate Change

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This 2020 Atlantic hurricane season  set the all-time record (back to 1851) for named storms (30), and had the 2nd most number of hurricanes...
Friday, December 11, 2020

The Rate of Voter Fraud is Too Low To Have Swung the 2020 Election

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Before the 2020 election, I concluded that the rate of voter fraud was so low that it was extremely unlikely to affect the outcome - and th...
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Michael Stock
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