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Monday, March 16, 2015

Using Preseason Ratings to Pick the NCAA Tournament

As pointed out by FiveThirtyEight, "Since 2003, the team ranked higher in the A.P. preseason poll (excluding cases where neither team received at least 5 votes) has won 72 percent of tournament games." So why not pick your bracket based on that alone? I prefer the AP poll to the Coaches, so that's what I used from the beginning of this season:

Note: Once again, the final score prediction is drawn from Massey Ratings

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