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Sunday, July 26, 2015

Projected NCAAF Strength of Schedules

Now that I've calculated my new preseason NCAAF rankings, I can project some things about the upcoming season. I projected each team's strength of schedule (SOS) based on each opponent they'll face this year. FCS teams are taken into account, and are designated a uniform ranking of 0.100 (so the SOS of teams like North Carolina who play 2 FCS teams fall quite a bit). Charlotte is not included in the following rankings, since their page is not yet live on College Football-Reference (where I pull my data from). As you'll see, the top is littered with Big 10, SEC, and Pac-12 teams:

RankTeamProj SOS
1Arkansas0.586
2Washington0.582
3Utah0.576
4Michigan State0.568
5Alabama0.567
6USC0.565
7California0.554
8Stanford0.547
9Minnesota0.547
10Kentucky0.546
11Michigan0.544
12Vanderbilt0.543
13Miami (FL)0.542
14Texas A&M0.542
15Colorado0.542
16Virginia0.539
17Purdue0.539
18Mississippi State0.537
19Kansas0.535
20Texas0.532
21Georgia0.532
22South Carolina0.531
23Florida0.528
24Auburn0.526
25Ohio State0.526
26Maryland0.526
27Arizona State0.524
28Washington State0.524
29LSU0.522
30Iowa State0.521
31Georgia Tech0.518
32Clemson0.516
33UTSA0.516
34Brigham Young0.513
35Tennessee0.511
36Texas Tech0.511
37Ole Miss0.511
38Nebraska0.508
39Notre Dame0.508
40Utah State0.506
41Wake Forest0.505
42Virginia Tech0.504
43Boston College0.504
44West Virginia0.502
45Southern Miss0.502
46Penn State0.499
47UCLA0.497
48Syracuse0.497
49Rutgers0.493
50Oregon State0.492
51Northwestern0.489
52Illinois0.485
53Arizona0.481
54Indiana0.481
55Western Michigan0.481
56Kansas State0.477
57Louisville0.477
58Oklahoma0.475
59Florida State0.474
60Pittsburgh0.473
61Oklahoma State0.473
62Fresno State0.470
63Florida Atlantic0.469
64UNLV0.468
65Missouri0.467
66Connecticut0.465
67North Carolina State0.462
68Oregon0.462
69Wisconsin0.461
70South Florida0.458
71Air Force0.455
72Tulsa0.454
73Southern Methodist0.453
74North Texas0.453
75Florida International0.452
76Hawaii0.450
77Middle Tennessee0.443
78San Jose State0.443
79Louisiana Tech0.441
80Baylor0.440
81Georgia State0.438
82TCU0.437
83Wyoming0.437
84North Carolina0.435
85Western Kentucky0.429
86New Mexico0.427
87Colorado State0.427
88Idaho0.423
89Eastern Michigan0.421
90New Mexico State0.421
91Kent State0.419
92Temple0.419
93Tulane0.417
94South Alabama0.414
95Iowa0.413
96Troy0.413
97Boise State0.411
98Bowling Green0.410
99Rice0.410
100Louisiana-Monroe0.409
101Miami (OH)0.404
102Duke0.402
103Old Dominion0.402
104Central Michigan0.402
105East Carolina0.399
106Arkansas State0.398
107Ohio0.396
108Ball State0.396
109Cincinnati0.394
110Northern Illinois0.393
111Houston0.387
112Memphis0.382
113Nevada0.380
114San Diego State0.377
115UCF0.372
116Texas State0.372
117Army0.371
118Appalachian State0.371
119Navy0.364
120Buffalo0.358
121Toledo0.358
122Massachusetts0.351
123Georgia Southern0.349
124UTEP0.343
125Louisiana-Lafayette0.343
126Akron0.343
127Marshall0.326

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