ACC Tournament Projections after Day 2

The odds of the favorites (teams with byes) winning the title continue to drop as the favored teams (in this model) in the first two rounds all won (with the lone exception of Wake Forest over Notre Dame). As these teams move into the later rounds, they take away from the byes as their respective chances of winning the title increase.

If Georgia Tech had been able to pull out the OT victory over Clemson, Duke would be the new favorite to win it all, taking yet another ACC Tournament title 27.97% of the time.

It will be interesting to see how things shake up if FSU, NC State, or Clemson can pull off the large upset tomorrow (UNC-Pitt is basically a coin flip).

Day 2	Seed	Team	2nd Round	Quarters	Semis	Final	Champion
	1	Virginia	100.00%	100.00%	78.27%	53.21%	26.61%
	8	Maryland	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	9	FSU	100.00%	100.00%	21.73%	8.07%	4.03%
	4	North Carolina	100.00%	100.00%	52.43%	20.84%	10.42%
	5	Pitt	100.00%	100.00%	47.57%	17.89%	8.94%
	12	Wake Forest	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	13	Notre Dame	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	2	Syracuse	100.00%	100.00%	75.67%	36.32%	18.16%
	7	NC St	100.00%	100.00%	24.33%	5.95%	2.98%
	10	Miami FL	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	15	Va Tech	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	3	Duke	100.00%	100.00%	80.84%	51.73%	25.87%
	6	Clemson	100.00%	100.00%	19.16%	5.99%	3.00%
	11	Ga Tech	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	14	Boston College	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
		Totals	12	8	4	2	1