Probabilis

Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

Modeling MLS, MLB

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I’ve finished building the MDS Model for MLS . The ratings are, as before: Matrix : A retrodictive rating that calculates a “true” wi...
Friday, April 18, 2014

Building a Retrodictive Model

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First, regarding the Matrix model I ended up going with,  I had concerns about the invertibility of the matrix due to the limited  connected...

Applying the MDS Model to Ultimate Frisbee

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I've applied the Matrix portion of the MDS Model to that of Ultimate Frisbee with the goal of obtaining a retrodictive model that improv...
Thursday, April 17, 2014

NBA, NHL Playoff Brackets

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The NBA Playoffs start this weekend and the NHL Playoffs started yesterday, so I've updated the MDS Model to pick both brackets! This ye...
Sunday, March 30, 2014

Final Four by the Aggregate Model

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Basically the path has been cleared for Florida to win the whole thing. Which, if the tournament so far has been any indication, means someo...
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Michael Stock
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