Probabilis
Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports
Monday, December 29, 2014
NFL Playoff Picks 2014-15
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The NFL Playoffs start this weekend, and the top seeds (NE, DEN, SEA, and GB) are appropriate (representing 4 of the top 5 teams in Pyth (t...
Saturday, December 27, 2014
Creating an NCAAF Model as a Function of Stadium Size
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My friend roommate colleague (who's also my friend and roommate), "Stan Hooper", suggested that a decent model for predicti...
Monday, December 22, 2014
Kentucky is So Good They Broke My Model
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The Matrix model uses a series of n x n matrices involving only wins and losses to calculate a "true" win percentage that factors...
Thursday, November 27, 2014
Fluctuations in UNC's Bowl Chances Throughout the Season
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Since I keep a weekly archive of my NCAAF ratings , I was able to retroactively determine how likely UNC was to make a bowl after each of t...
Wednesday, November 19, 2014
Is FSU In the Top 4, Much Less #1?
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Some controversy has developed in the past few weeks when the playoff selection committee ranked Oregon and Alabama (both with one loss) ahe...
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