Probabilis

Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports

Friday, June 29, 2018

"What are the odds?" World Cup Teams Play Each Other Twice?

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Note: the following has been reran and edited after reviewing my code and the answer from FiveThirtyEight . I've identified that I was o...

Simulating the 2018 Knockout Rounds of the World Cup

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As I did before , I've taken a composite of 4 different rating systems to create my "MDS Ratings" to project the knockout roun...
Monday, June 25, 2018

Expected # of Purchases to Complete the Panini World Cup Collection

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The Panini World Cup sticker collection  is popular every 4 years as fans try to collect all players, stadiums, teams, and more. This year...
Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Simulating the 2018 World Cup

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4 years ago I, like every other model, picked Brazil to win the World Cup on their home turf. It was my first attempt at a large scale simu...
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Michael Stock
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