Tuesday, March 8, 2016

Big 5 Conference Tournaments (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Big East, Pac-12)

Included are the MDS Model picks for the ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Big East, and Pac-12 tournaments (sorry SEC). I used KenPom's conference rankings to determine the Top 5 conferences this year, and SEC was the odd man out. Also included are the round-by-round probabilities for each team. For the purposes of coding each conference, there are 16 teams listed, and simply empty slots for the non-existent teams.

ACC


SeedTeam2nd RoundQuartersSemisFinalChampion
1North Carolina100.00%100.00%71.68%44.99%22.28%
8Pittsburgh100.00%57.29%17.67%7.79%2.44%
9Syracuse100.00%42.71%10.65%3.99%1.03%
16None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
4Notre Dame100.00%100.00%34.41%11.52%3.25%
5Duke100.00%85.36%58.95%30.68%13.98%
12North Carolina State67.82%11.73%3.73%0.73%0.12%
13Wake Forest32.18%2.91%2.91%0.30%0.03%
2Virginia100.00%100.00%85.70%58.17%37.29%
7Clemson100.00%46.77%6.30%1.74%0.40%
10Georgia Tech100.00%53.23%8.00%2.40%0.61%
15Louisville0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3Miami (FL)100.00%100.00%79.78%34.38%17.86%
6Virginia Tech100.00%43.95%6.75%0.94%0.16%
11Florida State89.82%54.54%11.95%2.32%0.56%
14Boston College10.18%1.52%1.52%0.05%0.00%
Totals128421

Note: Louisville is banned from postseason play (and thus set to 0)

Big 10


SeedTeam2nd RoundQuartersSemisFinalChampion
1Indiana100.00%100.00%74.41%36.30%15.55%
8Michigan100.00%71.52%21.44%6.40%1.62%
9Northwestern100.00%28.48%4.15%0.64%0.08%
16None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
4Purdue100.00%100.00%59.88%37.16%18.26%
5Iowa100.00%92.39%36.72%19.21%7.60%
12Illinois54.52%4.47%0.25%0.02%0.00%
13Minnesota0.45476156093.15%3.15%0.27%0.01%
2Michigan State100.00%100.00%90.15%65.94%43.04%
7Ohio State100.00%76.83%8.96%2.45%0.51%
10Penn State100.00%23.17%0.89%0.09%0.01%
15None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3Maryland100.00%100.00%64.32%22.36%10.09%
6Wisconsin100.00%79.59%32.20%8.80%3.17%
11Nebraska91.53%20.19%3.26%0.36%0.05%
14Rutgers8.47%0.22%0.22%0.00%0.00%
Totals128421

Big 12


SeedTeam2nd RoundQuartersSemisFinalChampion
1Kansas100.00%100.00%85.26%64.97%39.23%
8Kansas State100.00%69.39%12.13%4.91%1.25%
9Oklahoma State100.00%30.61%2.61%0.60%0.08%
16None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
4Texas100.00%100.00%46.07%12.86%4.03%
5Baylor100.00%100.00%53.93%16.66%5.78%
12None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
13None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2West Virginia100.00%100.00%83.49%53.01%29.79%
7Texas Tech100.00%81.34%15.55%4.59%1.17%
10TCU100.00%18.66%0.96%0.08%0.01%
15None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3Oklahoma100.00%100.00%61.90%28.75%13.68%
6Iowa State100.00%100.00%38.10%13.57%5.00%
11None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
14None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Totals108421

Big East


SeedTeam2nd RoundQuartersSemisFinalChampion
1Villanova100.00%100.00%89.45%76.38%57.74%
8Georgetown100.00%86.35%10.27%4.61%1.47%
9DePaul100.00%13.65%0.29%0.03%0.00%
16None00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
4Providence100.00%100.00%34.86%4.80%1.34%
5Butler100.00%100.00%65.14%14.18%5.81%
12None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
13None0%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2Xavier100.00%100.00%90.38%65.91%26.26%
7Marquette100.00%73.22%8.41%2.22%0.22%
10St. John100.00%26.78%1.21%0.14%0.01%
15None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3Seton Hall100.00%100.00%62.51%22.10%5.47%
6Creighton100.00%100.00%37.49%9.62%1.68%
11None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
14None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Totals108421

Pac-12


SeedTeam2nd RoundQuartersSemisFinalChampion
1Oregon100.00%100.00%79.27%47.13%28.32%
8Washington100.00%58.44%13.45%4.26%1.35%
9Stanford100.00%41.56%7.29%1.83%0.46%
16None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
4Arizona100.00%100.00%74.96%39.11%21.99%
5Colorado100.00%82.67%23.69%7.54%2.61%
12Washington State100.00%17.33%1.35%0.13%0.01%
13None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2Utah100.00%100.00%68.17%37.62%18.31%
7USC100.00%55.96%19.09%7.58%2.54%
10UCLA100.00%44.04%12.75%4.39%1.25%
15None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
3California100.00%100.00%74.18%42.04%20.87%
6Oregon State100.00%59.29%17.01%5.97%1.74%
11Arizona State100.00%40.71%8.81%2.41%0.54%
14None0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Totals128421




No comments:

Post a Comment