Tuesday, October 20, 2020

MLB World Series 2020 Bracket Math

Prior to the start of the postseason, I had the Los Angeles Dodgers as the most likely World Series champ. I updated the rosters through the postseason, to factor in Randy Arozarena's insane record breaking pace, the out of whack pitching rotations generated by no off days throughout the entire ALCS and NLCS, the Dodgers coming back from 3-1 and rearing 28-3 on the city of Atlanta again, etc.

Unfortunately, the prediction remains unchanged, although my Tampa Bay Rays have a better chance than you might expect through 10,000 simulations:

# GamesTBR in...LAD in...
44.2%9.1%
59.5%15.9%
613.4%17.4%
713.5%17.1%
40.5%59.5%

Ultimately the prediction is Dodgers in 6, but I certainly hope that's wrong. Rays in 7!!! #RaysUp

No comments:

Post a Comment