Probabilis

Statistics, probability, and Carolina sports

Thursday, December 3, 2020

How To Create a Simplex Linear Program Algorithm in Excel (Solver)

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Calculating the optimal solution of a simplex linear program algorithm (simplex LP), using matrix math, by hand, is not that easy. But doin...
Friday, November 27, 2020

The Effect of Simpson's Paradox On Interpreting COVID-19 Case Growth (United States Data, Thru 11/25/20)

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A quick re-primer on Simpson's Paradox, from my previous post concluding we weren't seeing it in Florida re: COVID-19 :  ... A hypot...
Tuesday, November 17, 2020

"What are the odds?" I Am Exposed to a COVID-19 Positive Individual

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Note: This post is on the likelihood of being exposed  to an infectious COVID-19 positive individual over a certain number of "close co...
Saturday, November 14, 2020

The Effect of Simpson's Paradox On Interpreting COVID-19 Case Growth (Florida Data, Thru 11/12/20)

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As we're deep in the "third wave" of confirmed coronavirus cases in the U.S., the upward trend is no longer geographically con...
Sunday, November 8, 2020

"What are the odds?" No NFL Team Has Played In the Super Bowl At Home

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Every year, the Super Bowl is played at a different neutral site , determined years in advance . There have been 54 Super Bowls to date in 1...
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Michael Stock
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