Elite 8 per the MDS Model (2022)

Well, the singularity keeps getting closer and closer.

Seed	Team	Elite 8	Final Four	Championship	Champion
	Sweet 16
1	Gonzaga	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
4	Arkansas	100.00%	40.83%	26.27%	10.79%
3	Texas Tech	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2	Duke	100.00%	59.17%	42.75%	21.42%
8	North Carolina	100.00%	76.56%	27.66%	9.10%
4	UCLA	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
3	Purdue	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
15	Saint Peter's	100.00%	23.44%	3.31%	0.41%
1	Arizona	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
5	Houston	100.00%	51.53%	27.34%	16.09%
11	Michigan	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2	Villanova	100.00%	48.47%	25.01%	14.35%
1	Kansas	100.00%	77.27%	41.75%	25.86%
4	Providence	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
11	Iowa St.	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
10	Miami (FL)	100.00%	22.73%	5.89%	1.98%

Of course I care way more about one side of the bracket than the other.

• Duke/Carolina: 45% (or so)
• Arkansas/Carolina: 31%
• Duke/Saint Peter's: 14%
• Arkansas/Saint Peter's: 10%

Kansas has the best odds to win the title (1 in 4), but 1 in 5 for Duke is getting far too high for my comfort.