Big 6 Conference Tournaments (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Big East, Pac-12, SEC)

Included are the MDS Model picks for the ACC, Big 10, Bit 12, Big East, Pac-12, and SEC tournaments. Also included are the round-by-round probabilities for each team. For the purposes of coding each conference, there are 16 teams listed, and simply empty slots for the non-existent teams.

ACC

Seed	Team	2nd Round	Quarters	Semis	Final	Champion
1	Virginia	100.00%	100.00%	96.74%	75.16%	55.62%
8	Clemson	100.00%	53.25%	1.84%	0.24%	0.03%
9	Florida State	100.00%	46.75%	1.42%	0.17%	0.02%
16	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
4	Louisville	100.00%	100.00%	40.68%	9.18%	4.12%
5	North Carolina	100.00%	90.65%	52.63%	14.87%	7.76%
12	Boston College	40.07%	2.96%	0.29%	0.01%	0.00%
13	Georgia Tech	59.93%	6.39%	6.39%	0.37%	0.05%
2	Duke	100.00%	100.00%	82.17%	66.76%	27.09%
7	North Carolina State	100.00%	71.38%	15.06%	8.23%	1.38%
10	Pittsburgh	100.00%	28.62%	2.77%	0.94%	0.07%
15	Syracuse	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
3	Notre Dame	100.00%	100.00%	64.19%	18.08%	3.20%
6	Miami (FL)	100.00%	77.29%	28.62%	5.56%	0.64%
11	Wake Forest	70.58%	18.83%	3.32%	0.29%	0.01%
14	Virginia Tech	29.42%	3.88%	3.88%	0.15%	0.00%
	Totals	12	8	4	2	1

Note: Syracuse is banned from postseason play (and thus set to 0)

Value Bet: Virginia at +195

Big 10

Seed	Team	2nd Round	Quarters	Semis	Final	Champion
1	Wisconsin	100.00%	100.00%	92.33%	82.09%	66.30%
8	Illinois	100.00%	64.77%	5.86%	2.73%	0.88%
9	Michigan	100.00%	35.23%	1.81%	0.60%	0.13%
16	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
4	Purdue	100.00%	100.00%	33.06%	3.73%	1.10%
5	Iowa	100.00%	84.02%	55.48%	10.24%	4.49%
12	Nebraska	42.89%	5.93%	1.41%	0.06%	0.01%
13	Penn State	57.11%	10.05%	10.05%	0.56%	0.09%
2	Maryland	100.00%	100.00%	58.05%	16.60%	2.74%
7	Indiana	100.00%	75.34%	36.22%	9.81%	1.53%
10	Northwestern	100.00%	24.66%	5.74%	0.64%	0.04%
15	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
3	Michigan State	100.00%	100.00%	46.45%	33.04%	9.33%
6	Ohio State	100.00%	82.01%	48.28%	37.59%	13.06%
11	Minnesota	85.30%	17.37%	4.65%	2.22%	0.32%
14	Rutgers	14.70%	0.62%	0.62%	0.09%	0.00%
	Totals	12	8	4	2	1

Value Bet: Wisconsin at -130

Big 12

Seed	Team	2nd Round	Quarters	Semis	Final	Champion
1	Kansas	100.00%	100.00%	84.44%	40.98%	21.89%
8	Kansas State	100.00%	42.62%	5.70%	0.76%	0.12%
9	TCU	100.00%	57.38%	9.86%	1.69%	0.33%
16	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
4	Baylor	100.00%	100.00%	70.78%	44.23%	26.97%
5	West Virginia	100.00%	100.00%	29.22%	12.33%	4.88%
12	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
13	None	0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2	Iowa State	100.00%	100.00%	57.69%	30.04%	14.03%
7	Texas	100.00%	90.70%	41.56%	19.97%	8.53%
10	Texas Tech	100.00%	9.30%	0.74%	0.07%	0.01%
15	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
3	Oklahoma	100.00%	100.00%	70.73%	39.72%	20.15%
6	Oklahoma State	100.00%	100.00%	29.27%	10.19%	3.11%
11	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
14	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	Totals	10	8	4	2	1

Value Bet: Baylor at +550

Big East

Seed	Team	2nd Round	Quarters	Semis	Final	Champion
1	Villanova	100.00%	100.00%	92.92%	80.37%	62.50%
8	Seton Hall	100.00%	60.07%	4.87%	1.76%	0.42%
9	Marquette	100.00%	39.93%	2.21%	0.60%	0.11%
16	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
4	Providence	100.00%	100.00%	53.30%	9.61%	3.56%
5	St. John	100.00%	100.00%	46.70%	7.65%	2.61%
12	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
13	None	0%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2	Georgetown	100.00%	100.00%	87.19%	46.34%	15.04%
7	DePaul	100.00%	35.45%	3.13%	0.31%	0.02%
10	Creighton	100.00%	64.55%	9.68%	1.61%	0.16%
15	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
3	Butler	100.00%	100.00%	51.24%	26.80%	8.19%
6	Xavier	100.00%	100.00%	48.76%	24.94%	7.40%
11	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
14	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	Totals	10	8	4	2	1

Value Bet: None

Pac-12

Seed	Team	2nd Round	Quarters	Semis	Final	Champion
1	Arizona	100.00%	100.00%	97.64%	91.22%	63.98%
8	California	100.00%	65.56%	1.84%	0.55%	0.05%
9	Washington State	100.00%	34.44%	0.52%	0.10%	0.01%
16	None	0	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
4	UCLA	100.00%	100.00%	53.02%	4.25%	0.79%
5	Arizona State	100.00%	77.87%	41.55%	3.71%	0.76%
12	USC	100.00%	22.13%	5.43%	0.18%	0.01%
13	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2	Oregon	100.00%	100.00%	67.34%	11.73%	1.43%
7	Oregon State	100.00%	35.90%	8.90%	0.62%	0.03%
10	Colorado	100.00%	64.10%	23.75%	2.72%	0.22%
15	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
3	Utah	100.00%	100.00%	83.88%	74.67%	31.04%
6	Stanford	100.00%	81.69%	15.23%	9.98%	1.66%
11	Washington	100.00%	18.31%	0.89%	0.28%	0.01%
14	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
	Totals	12	8	4	2	1

Value Bet: Utah at +275

SEC

Seed	Team	2nd Round	Quarters	Semis	Final	Champion
1	Kentucky	100.00%	100.00%	94.87%	91.40%	86.91%
8	Florida	100.00%	69.66%	4.29%	2.75%	1.57%
9	Alabama	100.00%	30.34%	0.84%	0.38%	0.14%
16	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
4	LSU	100.00%	100.00%	48.27%	3.00%	1.42%
5	Texas A&M	100.00%	80.09%	38.31%	2.22%	1.00%
12	Mississippi State	43.86%	7.78%	1.28%	0.02%	0.00%
13	Auburn	56.14%	12.14%	12.14%	0.23%	0.04%
2	Arkansas	100.00%	100.00%	67.61%	43.80%	4.84%
7	Vanderbilt	100.00%	67.64%	25.23%	13.21%	1.01%
10	Tennessee	100.00%	32.36%	7.17%	2.49%	0.11%
15	None	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
3	Georgia	100.00%	100.00%	47.89%	19.38%	1.39%
6	Ole Miss	100.00%	60.59%	32.31%	14.09%	1.11%
11	South Carolina	84.47%	37.43%	17.82%	6.82%	0.45%
14	Missouri	15.53%	1.98%	1.98%	0.21%	0.00%
	Totals	12	8	4	2	1

Value Bet: None