On Friday, the Houston Astros held form as the second Wild Card team by beating the Arizona Diamondbacks by a score of 21-5. A score that high is very rare; in fact, throughout the entire 2015 season, a team scoring 21+ happened a total of 3 times (including Friday in Arizona). Out of 4858 possibilities, that's 0.0618% of the time.
So how likely was it it would happen for Houston on Friday? I just so happened to have finished my play-by-play baseball simulator, and can look back at each result over the 10,000 simulations. Houston scored 21 or more runs 5 times: 0.05% of the time, which is fairly in line with the historical trend over this past season. It was extremely unlikely, but it could happen - and it did. "You can never be 100% certain!"
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