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Sunday, March 31, 2019

Final Four per the MDS Model (2019)

Some decent upsets this weekend have left us with only the best team (per my model) remaining: Virginia, which had a 16.33% chance to win it all at the start, now is up to better than 2 in 5 odds.


SeedTeam1st RoundChampionshipChampion
Final Four
2Michigan St.100.00%57.98%28.75%
3Texas Tech100.00%42.02%17.58%
1Virginia100.00%70.88%42.49%
5Auburn100.00%29.12%11.18%

No other 1 seed made it though! So Virginia will have to carry the banner for the 54% combined favorite that all 1 seeds encompassed going into the Sweet 16.

Potential area of concern for Viginia fans: I've only picked the champion correctly twice going into the Final Four, and both times it was Villanova.

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