Final Four per the MDS Model (2022)

Well, the singularity is upon us. Even going in to Saturday's games, it was at less than 50/50 chance of happening. 0.46% chance before the tournament started, compared to the long-run average of 2.66%.

Seed	Team	Championship	Champion
	Final Four
2	Duke	67.43%	32.72%
8	North Carolina	32.57%	10.19%
2	Villanova	45.18%	24.64%
1	Kansas	54.82%	32.46%

The Coach K Farewell Tour now has the most likely chance of finishing with a championship. After having 6 more likely winners at the start, and having wanted absolutely no part of this as a fan, it now looks like we're going to have to do this ourselves.

I've picked the champion three times going in to the Final Four since I started this in 2014 (Virginia 2019, Villanova 2016, Villanova 2018). I hope I'm wrong this time.