It's been a few years since I've simulated an NHL bracket, but went ahead and adapted my NBA simulator to run on this year's Stanley Cup playoffs.
- Colorado is pretty dominant, but a different team still wins the title 80%+ of the time
- They're the only team easily over 60% to advance out of round 1
- Four teams combine for over 50%: Colorado, Carolina, Dallas, and Buffalo (in order)
- Utah looks like the best wild card poised to potentially make a deep run
- Only a 14% chance Canada's Stanley Cup drought since 1993 comes to an end
| Team | Seed | Rating | Make Round 2 | Make Conf Finals | Make Finals | Win Finals |
| East | | | | | | |
| Carolina Hurricanes | M1 | 0.466 | 58.1% | 36.4% | 20.2% | 11.8% |
| Buffalo Sabres | A1 | 0.445 | 60.7% | 33.5% | 19.0% | 10.7% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | A2 | 0.381 | 54.0% | 27.7% | 15.5% | 8.8% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | M2 | 0.210 | 55.1% | 23.5% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | M3 | 0.114 | 44.9% | 17.6% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Montreal Canadiens | A3 | 0.293 | 46.0% | 21.6% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Boston Bruins | WC1 | 0.189 | 39.3% | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Ottawa Senators | WC2 | 0.290 | 41.9% | 22.5% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| | | | | | |
| West | | | | | | |
| Colorado Avalanche | C1 | 0.508 | 78.7% | 44.7% | 32.0% | 18.2% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | P1 | -0.050 | 41.4% | 21.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Edmonton Oilers | P2 | 0.035 | 59.2% | 28.4% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Dallas Stars | C2 | 0.432 | 57.4% | 29.7% | 19.7% | 11.0% |
| Minnesota Wild | C3 | 0.281 | 42.6% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 5.8% |
| Anaheim Ducks | P3 | -0.175 | 40.8% | 16.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Utah Mammoth | WC1 | 0.151 | 58.7% | 33.5% | 13.1% | 5.1% |
| Los Angeles Kings | WC2 | -0.214 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
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